Wednesday, November 5, 2008

The morning after

Hey, Richard. You're right, of course, your states came through and mine didn't. Thanks for that.

What a sweet morning after . . . although I have to admit, I'm a little slow getting going this morning. With sleep deprivation, physical exhaustion from standing for 8 hours as a poll watcher, and emotional exhaustion from 21 months of this . . . I'm a little numb.

I haven't quite assimilated winning into my emotional DNA.

Back to winners/losers: As of 10AM, it's looking like our GA senatorial candidate Jim Martin may force a run-off with Saxby Chambliss. With a Libertarian candidate taking a few 3.4%, Chambliss is leading with only 49.9% with 96% counted. It turns out they still had a lot of absentee ballots to count when we all went to bed last night. It's rumored that they are mainly in Fulton County, which went big for Obama. Now that would be huge and almost make up for not taking the state for Obama. In fact, moreso, because Obama's got more than enough EV's -- and he could use another conversion from R to D in the senate.

Also, here are my bragging rights, Richard. I couldn't deliver the whole state; but my current county of residence, Fulton -- as well as my home town county, Washington -- went big for Obama. And this is in Bible belt, semi-rural, middle Georgia. So, there !!

Ralph

PS: Not to rub it in, but my numbers guru was right on the money in almost every race -- Obama popular vote 52.3 to 46.4% (+ 5.9% and Nate predicted 6.0%. No Bradley effect.). And it includes a 1.0% win in NC and a 3.7% loss in GA. A few not-quite-on misses: He had predicted a 1.5% win for McCain in IN, and he underestimated Obama's surprisingly big win in NV. And Missouri is still too clase to call, and he gave it to Obama with 0.1%.

4 comments:

Ralph said...

If 5.9% doesn't seem like a very impressive victory, it is actually huge. No one has won the presidency by more than 50% since Jimmy Carter; that obviously includes both of Bill Clinton's elections.

richard said...

The polls were accurate this time. Good to know for the future.

As for bragging rights, you do realize there is now not 1 single
Republican representative from New England.

Anonymous said...

Jim Martin is in a run-off for the Georgia Senate. If anybody has any money left, he could use a boost. He's been outspent five to one. [link]

Ralph said...

Richard, I guess that takes the prize, not a single Republican rep in New England.

I second Mickey's plea for helping Jim Martin. He is well qualified to be our senator, which is reason enough.

But it would also convert another senate seat from R to D, as well as settling the score with Saxby Chambliss for the dishonorable way he defeated Max Cleland 6 years ago.