Monday, October 13, 2008

Voter Fraud - Who Has the Most to Gain?

With all the allegations swirling around fraudulent voter registrations, and a lack of clarity as to who is responsible, a simple question that might cut to the core of this problem is missed - who gained from these events? Answer that question, and you have the most likely answer to who is behind them.

In the thousands of ballots mailed with Obama misnamed as Osama, the answer is clear. McCain. It should be a simple matter to figure out 1) who was responsible for writing up and proofing the ballots prior to printing, and 2) who printed the ballots up. Look into those two areas, and you should find out who is responsible for that fraud.

The Acorn question is equally simple to answer, although several plausible answers present themselves.

Workers who canvas for ACORN get paid by the number of ballots they turn in. ACORN does not pay well for this job. A simple way to boost one's paycheck would be to sit in a coffee shop for an hour and write up a full shift's worth of 'registrations'. Worker fraud is pretty common these days, esp. among young people unused to actually working 8 hours a day. The people who gained were workers who got paid without having to work.

ACORN must have access to information on who turned in which ballots, who worked in the specific areas where they were generated. It is a simple matter to find those workers. Why has this not been done?

Obama? This might seem to be the case on the surface, but common sense will tell you it's impossible for thousands of non-existent people to show up at the polls, with fake IDs, and vote. So fake registratiosn of this scope do not translate to fake votes.

And since the fake registrations were so obviously false - there was no attempt to hide or disguise that they were written in the same handwriting, and some of the names and addresses were so obviously fake(they barely stopped short of signing up Daffy Duck at Disneyland) it appeared whoever filled out the forms wanted to be caught.

Why? Well, if it was caught out, the immediate spin would be that this was somehow a plot to help Obama. So he didn't have anything to gain under this scenario either.

Which brings us to another likely scenario

McCain has the most to gain by this story about voter fraud. Given that Palin/McCain have run a campaign based on lies and attacks, it's entirely plausible some of their supporters, with or without the campaign's knowledge, signed up to canvas for ACORN, then deliberately falsified registrations in a manner designed to insure they would be caught, hoping this would create negative press for Obama.

And of course there's ACORN. The more registrations they turn in, the more effective their organisation looks, the more money they can raise for themselves. ACORN has had past problems with one of their officers embezzling funds, so their hiring at the executive level is suspect. And in 2005 four ACORN employees falsified 3,000 ballots. So there is a past history of organisational malfeasance.

The problem with this now is similar to the point I made above - the registrations were so obviously fake, it seems whoever filled them out knew they'd be caught. It's ahrd to concieve ACORN, knowing they'd been scrutinized in the past, would falsify registrations and make no attempt to hide the fact they were falsified.

So again we're back to, Who had the most to gain by this? I only see two plausible answers. Underpaid and/or lazy workers. The McCain campaign. And ACORN coming in a distant third.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Actually, the workers who turned in the false registrations were fired. It seems obvious to me that, of all things, ACORN had the most to LOSE by having this happen. After all, they pay low income volunteers per registration, so all they ended up doing was paying money out for false registrations that were never going to result in actual votes. ACORN loses, McCain picks it up and looks "good," meanwhile, thousands upon thousands of legitimate voters are being purged from the rolls in swing states to the obvious benefit of McCain, and the story remains on ACORN.

Ralph said...

This is the problem with programs that do good but are lax in their methods. It wouldn't be such a problem if the Republicans didn't comb the records looking for any little slip-up they can distort into a smear attack.

I wish some journalists and pundits with loud megaphones would point out the obvious, as you do here, that fake registrations do not result in fake voting; and there are vitually no instances of actual voter fraud.

The New Mexico State Attorney David Iglesias, who was fired by Gonzales because he wouldn't prosecute "voter fraud," actually did investigate and found only one case he could conceivably bring to trial. And it was exactly what you've described. A voter registration worker who was filling out fake registrations simply to collect more money. He concluded that it wasn't worth pursuing as a case of voter fraud.